The bank industry is no stranger to change. In just the past few decades, deregulation, telephone banking, ATMs, the internet and mobile phones have all caused banks and bankers to adjust how they approach their trade. But while the fundamentals of banking have remained the same throughout all of this, with the changes confined largely to the way banking products are delivered, one gets a palatable sense from attendees at Bank Director’s Acquire or Be Acquired conference this year that the industry is on the verge of a more transformational realignment.
In the short-term, bankers are upbeat about last year’s historic tax cut.You have to go back to World War II to find the last time the corporate income tax rate was as low as 21 percent. Few industries will benefit more than banks from this reduction, as three out of the four biggest taxpayers on the S&P 500 are banks. The net result is that profitability in the industry, measured by return on assets, is expected to increase by 20 basis points in one fell swoop.